If you cannot read this newsletter, click on this text to go to our website WWW.TORDAHL.COM

 

head banner

Measuring the Unmeasurable

The textbook says that what gets measured, gets done. Often that is true, but it begs the real question: What exactly is it that should get done? And what if that is difficult, or maybe impossible, to measure?

President Clinton's Secretary of the Treasury, Robert Rubin, knew the psychology of Wall Street. Mr. Clinton was preparing the largest tax increase of his generation. Mr. Rubin advised him to use part of the increased tax revenues to pay down the national debt.

When Clinton did so, and actually brought the federal budget into surplus, investors felt that they would not have to compete with government for capital at high interest rates, and they invested in the US economy with a vengeance. This produced the longest economic expansion in US history.

Last year, Nokia focused on developing high-end cell phones. Samsung and Motorola put their bets on the middle end cell phones, and introduced lower cost versions of the popular clamshell model. Nokia's market share dropped from 35% of all cell phones sold to 29%. The challenge of doing the right thing was far harder to master than measuring what was done. And how do you measure changes in tastes?

The early economists maximized satisfaction, which is an emotion. They saw an economy fueled by fears, optimism, pride, confidence and dissatisfaction. In this emotional universe, fiscal and monetary policy are formed and put in place. But there are times when someone that we trust must stand up and say: "We have nothing to fear but fear itself!" [1]

What did Roosevelt's fireside chats contribute to overcoming the depression of the 1930's? And what did the speeches of Hitler and Churchill do to the economies of Germany and Britain?

What have we learned, as leaders, employees and parents about the importance of emotion, irrational behavior, and overcoming long odds?

As parents we get our battle training from our teenage sons and daughters. Never do we see raw emotion and irrational actions in clearer view than when we intervene against hairstyles, clothing, and loud music, not to mention smoking, alcohol and drug usage. Only the memories from our own rebellious youth save us from despairing in the face of seemingly insurmountable odds.

The same applies in the work place. A thoughtless and disparaging remark can ruin the day for an employee, and affect the morale of the whole office. The force of "malicious compliance" can affect a whole company when employees decide to "work to rule", or managers are deprived of expected salary increases.

[1] Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1933 inaugural speech.

Karl Von Klausewitz points out that when two enemies are equally matched, the one with the highest morale will win. And how is such morale achieved? First, by developing the habit of winning. And then by facing and conquering seemingly insurmountable odds.

The Minnesota Timberwolves were eliminated in the first round of the NBA playoffs 7 times in a row. But in 2004 they made it to the third round, and almost made it to the final round. Magic Johnson commented: "You first have to learn how to win the playoffs. And then you have to believe that you can beat anybody."

In an emotional universe serious scientists are trying to unravel how the unmeasurable can be measured, so that it can be done. Coaches search for a strategy that will carry their team to victory against a superior opponent. They all agree on one thing: first you have to believe.

How do you measure belief? How do you measure faith?

For economists, I wonder if it is time to return to our historical economic roots. To find out, again, what maximizes satisfaction. To translate this into good policy, good leadership and good work.

A neighbor of mine is selling his beautiful townhouse and moving to a cabin on a lake. A part time programmer takes a job as a waitress to pay for her father's hospitalization. A wonderful person is transforming my garden into a place of harmony and beauty. President Vicente Fox of Mexico came to town to pay tribute to our booming Hispanic population. The CEO of the largest healthcare company in the US came to the seminar that I teach at the University of Minnesota and gave the students a priceless orientation on the status of the healthcare sector today.

None of these actions are about money. I remember a time when we did a factor analysis on data that we had collected on corporations. One factor contained all the variables that define productivity: Effectiveness, efficiency and occupancy. The largest influence on these variables came from one very important variable: Attitude.

Attitude explained half of the variations in performance for the data we had collected.

How do you measure attitude? And if it is half the ball game, how do we nurture it?

The lake is glistening below the deck of my house. The fragrance of roses and lilies waft towards me. I'm thinking about planting a Colorado blue spruce in a perfect spot near the water.

I know that I may not live to see it reach full maturity. But my daughter likely will.

So, this summer I planted a majestic and beautiful tree that will give pleasure to everyone who will see it, as far into the future as I can see.

 

Passing on this newsletter to a friend or colleague is the best compliment we can receive. Please feel free to share this with others!

If you received this from a friend and wish to receive your own copy of our E-Newsletters in the future, please send your request to amy@tordahl.com.

If you don't wish to receive this E-Newsletter anymore, please reply to this with "unsubscribe" in the subject line.

We invite you to visit our website to learn more about achieving High Performance at www.tordahl.com

Tor Dahl & Associates

2202 Fifth St. Suite 1240, White Bear Lake, MN 55110

 Copyright © 2004 Tor Dahl & Associates