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Extreme Innovation

 The challenge from China and India is that they pay their workers far less than we do for the same work.

 U.S. labor unions say that this will create a race to the bottom.  All that has been gained in the past will be lost when far lower wage levels are forced upon workers by firms wishing to remain — or become — competitive in world markets.

 The reality is: 

1.      Incomes in China and India will increase dramatically.  Globalization and free trade act like giant antipoverty programs for developing countries.

 2.      The purchasing power of Americans will increase through lower prices on virtually all traded goods, from textiles to computers.  This will put a damper on inflation, and induce the Federal Reserve to seek a lower interest level than would have been possible otherwise.  This will also add to American wealth.

 3.      Eventually, wages abroad will approach American wages.  That will create enormous markets for American exporters and opportunities for American investors.

 Economics tell us that free trade will lead to income equalization worldwide.  This is great if you live in a developing country.  It is, perhaps, less desirable if you live in the US.

 But economics also provides some qualifiers:  Income equalization (or in technical terms, factor price equalization) depends on a number of other factors, such as transportation costs, the health and education of the work force, and — most important — constant technology.

It is this last exception that will allow Yankee ingenuity to enable Americans to have their cake — and eat it, too.  This country must remain a technology leader.

 Americans only have to focus on three tasks to maintain or expand the wage level differential with other countries:

1.      Produce something more cheaply than anyone else does.

2.      Produce something better than does anyone else.

3.      Produce something no one else can produce.

 All of this requires what we may call extreme innovation.  It is the opposite of extreme lean, which standardizes whatever is being produced to seek cost savings.  While extreme lean may produce temporary cost savings, it's the implementation of extreme innovation that will increase income and wage differentials over time.

 Extreme innovation is always about ideas.  It is about ". . . the eye that, eternally young and eternally burning, sees the possibilities."[i]  It is always questioning what exists, always improving upon what you do, and about looking for what will change the world for the better.

India is selling cars in boxes to be assembled by the buyer -- at a fraction of the cost of a regular car.  IKEA allows you to buy roomfuls of well-designed furniture at a reasonable cost.  Corporate airplanes on a regular schedule allow you to fly inexpensively in first class accommodations.  Software programs take you through preparing your own income tax returns, last wills and testaments, hotel and travel reservations, and grocery purchases, all at far less expense than before.

 An innovator reads what everyone has read and sees what no one else has seen.  That is the eye that sees the possibilities.

 This is precisely America's key competitive advantage.  This is why we have been awarded nearly forty percent of the Nobel Prizes[ii].  This is why we start a million new companies every year.  This is why this country honors and respects entrepreneurs like Jeff Bezos, Howard Schultz and Bill Gates (isn't it amazing that all of these come from Seattle?).  And this is why the world looks to the US as the country that will figure out a way to solve the most pressing problems on this planet.

 The world of extreme innovation is not a safe world.  It is a world of challenge and turmoil, full of danger and opportunity, and a world that creates more excitement than calm.

 But in its wealth creation power, extreme innovation offers something no other strategy can.

 It provides the resources that will allow us to create the world we want to live in -- any world -- and the human beings who will be maximally contributing to that world.  If we so decide it could be a world without poverty, without disease, and with no war or conflict.

 For eleven years, I served as either President or Chairman of the World Confederation of Productivity Science.  Our motto is: "Peace and Prosperity through Productivity."  I believe in that vision.  And the more I travel and talk to leaders of this world, the closer we seem to be to its realization.

 As Ferdinand Finne once wrote, "The road forms as you walk it."[iii]

 When we walk into the unknown, any road may do.  But the one that relies on our highly developed talents and contributions to a better world seems to be the more satisfying course.  It will lift our spirits.  And it will take us to a land that we promised to ourselves and to those who follow us.


[i] Søren Kirkegaard.

[ii] Source: Nobel Foundation.  Between 1901 and 2002, US citizens have taken home 270 of the 684 Nobel Prizes awarded.  Online.  Available: http://www.nationmaster.com.  October 13, 2005.

[iii] Finne, F. Veien blir til mens du går. J.M. Stenersens Forlag. Oslo. 1986.

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