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There Never is a Shortage . . . ?

      I once served as Governor Quie's representative on the Minnesota Commission on the Shortage of Nurses.  In my very first appearance at a Commission meeting, I stepped on a few toes by stating that there was no shortage of nurses.  "In fact," I said, with the annoying finality of the academic researcher I was, "there never is a shortage.  There is only an inappropriate price."

     This is what some brilliant American economists had told me ever since I had arrived in this country:  The free market is an ingenious and wondrous mechanism, working to clear every market, making supply  equal to demand through the function of an indispensable and just price mechanism, fueled by competition. 

     Adam Smith's invisible hand should be at work for the services of nurses as well, I thought.

     Maybe … But the invisible hand only works where there is money.  The French Revolution was brought about because the price of bread was relinquished to free market forces.  The price of bread rose.  Since "eating cake" was not a feasible substitute for impoverished Parisians, the outraged citizens of France stormed the Bastille — and the glorious French kingdom fell.

Could something similar happen in health?  Could the health sector price itself out of reach?

Maybe….  Price would then serve as a rationing device.  The right to health care, if such a right exists, would yield to the obligation of paying for it.  As a result, many would not be able to afford needed care.  It remains to be seen if that would topple the government. 

The fact is that markets don't work in health care.  And it is not only because some people cannot afford it. Here is why:

1.      Where there is demand for something for which there is no supply, markets don't work.

The classic example is that of a lighthouse.  It cannot collect from those it serves, and would not exist unless and until some entity were to finance the expense of building it.

People living in a geographic area that is under-served by health care are a bit like ships in need of a lighthouse, aren't they?

2.      Where there is a supply of something for which there is no demand, markets don't work.

The classic example here is that of pollution.  Pollution also directly affects our health and, potentially, our survival as a species.

3.      Where there is a monopoly, markets don't work. 

The monopolist controls supply of a good or a service and, hence, is free to set price, there being no countervailing power.  Examples abound in health:  Patent protection for drugs, the scarcity of certain medical sub-specialists, quotas for students entering medical school.  In a sense, every nearby health care facility enjoys some monopoly power if no other facility is available in an emergency. 

4.      Where there is monopsony (one buyer and many sellers), markets don't work.

A national health care system, where a government agency has the sole right to buy drugs for its clients, is an effective monopsony.  In the U.S., the Veterans Administration has the power to buy drugs for all veterans and can, thus, negotiate effectively with pharmaceutical companies that have monopoly power.  Medicare does not yet have this right, but will likely receive it if costs of drugs continue to rise at the same pace as in recent years.

 5.      When there are externalities, markets do not work.

In this case, the classical example has to do with the benefits that derive from vaccinations.  They extend well beyond those who receive them, since the likelihood for all to be exposed to contagious disease is diminished by the actions of some.  This is a positive externality.  The spread of bird flu is an example of a negative externality when vital food distribution channels can turn deadly.

There are even more reasons why market forces don't work in health care.  Markets only work where there is competition, and effective competition requires perfect information, many small sellers and buyers, no transportation costs, and perfect knowledge.  None of these conditions exist in health care delivery.  Hence, competition and free markets cannot exist in health care, except in a very limited and narrow sense.  That does not mean that we cannot use markets as a distribution mechanism where they can be made to work, e.g. in the sale of over-the-counter drugs and in other cases when people have the funds to pay for their healthcare needs.

But when markets break down, we have to find other ways of supplying health care.  Each of these has a cost.  To find the least cost solution with the highest benefit seems to be the best way.  We are beginning to understand how we can make this happen.

Productivity and quality are key tools in that picture.  The chance of ending up with high-cost/high-mortality care once cancer is detected is about equal to the chance of ending up with a low-cost/low-mortality care, says Dr. William McGuire, CEO of the United HealthCare Group.  We must solve this problem!  The information tools now available would go far in helping the health sector improve the quality of care and perform better. They will allow us to find these islands of excellence within the system, steer patients towards them, and point the way for necessary improvements throughout the health sector.

The Commission on the Shortage of Nurses concluded its report to the Governor with a series of recommendations for increasing the supply of nurses.  Adding contributions from LPNs and nurses' aides, offering scholarships, encouraging RNs to come to the U.S. from other countries and, yes, increasing pay, were among them.  I thought we had done an exemplary job of addressing a vital problem in our state.

I apologized to the Commission for my earlier statement.  There was, indeed, a shortage — because there was not a free market in nursing.  Making it a free market was beyond our powers — beyond anyone's power, perhaps.  Now you know why.

We only relinquish our ideal beliefs grudgingly.  Each one of them has served a guiding purpose.  Each one of them will be missed.

Perhaps we can find some comfort in the words of Santayana:

The world is so ordered that we must, in a material sense, lose everything we have and love one thing after another, until we ourselves close our eyes.

      The last thing we lose is our health. There is much that can be done in our life times to postpone that loss.   Let us not close our eyes to those possibilities too soon. 

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